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Wednesday, April 28, 2010

Lech Poznan vs Lechia Gdansk Live Stream Ekstraklasa HD Video 28, April 2010

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After yesterday's roaring success in the Ekstraklasa, I've decided to stay with that theme today by making the game between title challengers Lech Poznan and over-achieving Lechia Gdansk my game of the day. The two side had opposite aims at the start of the season but both find themselves a closer to each other in the table than they'd have expected so we should see an interesting game tonight.
Lech Poznan enter this game on the back of a 0-0 draw at Reymonta against Wisla Krakow. Atypically, that's a very good result against fellow title challengers but the result hasn't helped them in their quest for the Ekstraklasa title and nor has Wisla's dominant win at Piast Gliwice last match so Lech need to win today to have a chance of winning the title. A win tonight lifts them above Legia Warsaw into second place and three points behind Wisla. There will only be four games remaining for both sides after this game has been played and Lech know that just one defeat for Wisla (combined with their own continued form) will leave the title to be decided on goal difference, something that Lech are currently five behind Wisla on, something they know that they must improve to have a chance.
Now we've established the motivation of Lech Poznan, let's take a look at how they deliver. They've won nine out of twelve home games this season, which is good, and only Legia Warsaw have scored more at home than they have with Lech averaging scoring nearly two goals per game. Only Legia, Wisla, and Jagiellonia have conceded less at home than Lech have this season so they're generally quite assured at home. Star striker Robert Lewandowski has attracted an awful lot of attention this season from other European clubs and it's easy to see why with him constantly spear-heading Lech's potent attack and having scored thirteen goals in twenty-three games this season. Lewandowski is about 70% sure to leave in summer for England, Germany, Russia, or Ukraine, so this is basically Lech's last shot at the title for a while barring a miracle signing! Krivets has adapted well to the side since signing from Belarusian champions BATE Borisov and Lech are looking very strong as a result. Lech have played five consecutive games, two away from home, without conceding a goal so they've become extremely composed and confident over the winter break defensively, which aids their goal difference immensely as a result. Lech have won all four home games since returning from the winter break, beating the -1.75 handicap three times with the only exception being the game against Legia Warsaw, which still remained an impressive win nonetheless. Lech have very much looked the real deal this season, moreso in the second half of the season, and I see no reason as to why that won't continue tonight.
Lechia Gdansk are a side that have over-achieved a lot this season but full credit to them for that. They're unbeaten in their last three games consecutively and have only lost three out of twelve away games this season so they're certainly a tough nut to crack. They're not a particularly good side but they're quite efficient in preventing other sides from scoring as the fact that only the three big sides of the division and GKS Belchatow have conceded less on the road than Lechia have. Lechia were battling relegation last season and I'm impressed that they've evaded that battle this season. So why back Lech on the handicap? I'd normally think twice about this call but Lechia have been utterly destroyed ahead of this game with injuries/suspensions and they don't have a big enough squad to cover for their missing players. They're missing strikers Dawidowski and Zablocki, midfielders Bajic, Piatek, and Bak, as well as defenders Cvirik, Wisniewski, and Oslowski so to say that they're under-strength would be a massive understatement.
As I mentioned earlier, Lechia have only lost three away games in the Ekstraklasa this season but it's worth noting that two of those games were against Lech's fellow title rivals Legia and Wisla and both of those two beat the -1.75 goal handicap against over-achieving Lechia Gdansk for obvious reasons. Lech Poznan are well placed to repeat the feat of their rivals tonight and Lechia Gdansk are well placed to succumb to a convincing defeat again too so I thoroughly expect a home win tonight. Lech are potent enough at home at the moment to beat the -1.75 handicap and with the above information in mind, 6/5 on that to occur looks like good odds to me.
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